목차
1. 서론
1) - 주제 선정 목적
2. 본론
1) - 독립변수 선정
2) - 모형 예측 및 검정
3) - 실증분석 해석
3. 결론
1) - 소감 및 한계점
2) - 부록 (참고자료)
1) - 주제 선정 목적
2. 본론
1) - 독립변수 선정
2) - 모형 예측 및 검정
3) - 실증분석 해석
3. 결론
1) - 소감 및 한계점
2) - 부록 (참고자료)
본문내용
4.86
7.16
1999 1
1,198.77
665,514.8
98.5
97.3
6,067.7
2.8
318.1
4.73
5.68
1999 2
1,189.87
670,344.4
96.8
97.7
6,177.6
3.3
-610.6
4.75
4.81
1999 3
1,194.77
679,138.5
101.3
98
6,610.9
2.3
-3,737.3
5.09
4.78
1999 4
1,172.27
672,544.4
100.3
98.4
5,665.7
2.9
6,070.1
5.31
4.76
2000 1
1,124.82
684,735.3
99.4
99.3
1,616.4
3.3
9,329.2
5.68
4.96
2000 2
1,116.59
683,704.8
98
99.7
2,939.3
0.4
4,450.3
6.27
5.12
2000 3
1,115.28
697,736
101.2
100.3
4,233
1.6
17.3
6.52
5.16
2000 4
1,166.03
707,698.9
101.3
100.7
3,462.1
-1
-1,686.8
6.47
5.38
2001 1
1,272.15
720,212.6
103.3
101.5
2,666.9
2.2
-4,328
5.59
5.16
2001 2
1,305.35
737,260
103
102.3
3,738.2
0.9
-2,624.7
4.33
5.02
2001 3
1,294.1
768,718.4
104.9
102.7
1,185.3
1.4
1,584.2
3.5
4.58
2001 4
1,291.7
764,979.3
103
103.2
442.2
0.1
1,977.7
2.13
4.02
2002 1
1,319.76
805,123.3
105.6
103.6
1,400.6
3.7
2,922.3
1.73
4.01
2002 2
1,269.13
826,520.5
105.8
103.9
1,569.7
1.6
424.1
1.75
4.2
2002 3
1,197.45
840,325
107.3
104.3
547.2
1.3
2,142.1
1.74
4.3
2002 4
1,220.37
872,075.6
107
104.9
1,876.4
0.9
763
1.44
4.32
2003 1
1,202.49
887,799
108.6
105.7
-1,556.4
-0.3
1,367.9
1.25
4.29
2003 2
1,208.76
881,989.1
108.5
106.1
2,572.9
0.4
2,705.2
1.25
4.13
2003 3
1,174.69
880,971.9
110.6
106.6
3,669.7
1.4
3,639.5
1.02
3.8
2003 4
1,181.79
898,069.4
109.6
107.2
7,263.3
2.7
6,196.8
1
3.79
2004 1
1,170.61
913,949.2
110.9
108.2
6,418.4
0.7
3,980.6
1
3.78
2004 2
1,161.93
929,193.8
111.3
109.2
6,856.6
1
-6,066.6
1.01
3.77
2004 3
1,155.03
945,480.2
114.9
109.7
7,565.4
0.4
-1,137.1
1.44
3.64
2004 4
1,091.73
954,722.5
112.1
110.6
7,333.1
0.7
10,821.9
1.95
3.39
2005 1
1,022.1
970,629.1
111.2
111.5
5,263.5
0.7
4,141.5
2.47
3.26
2005 2
1,008.08
999,795.4
110.8
112.2
2,352.1
1.6
2,257.6
2.94
3.28
2005 3
1,029.4
1,004,087.9
114
113.1
2,198.2
1.6
-504.3
3.46
3.25
2005 4
1,036.53
1,021,448.7
111.2
114
5,167.1
1.7
-1,138.3
3.97
3.54
2006 1
976.38
1,040,062.1
110.2
115
-1,118.4
1
6,524.4
4.46
3.88
*한국은행 경제통계시스템 (http://ecos.bok.or.kr/), 국가통계포털(http://www.kosis.kr/)
7.16
1999 1
1,198.77
665,514.8
98.5
97.3
6,067.7
2.8
318.1
4.73
5.68
1999 2
1,189.87
670,344.4
96.8
97.7
6,177.6
3.3
-610.6
4.75
4.81
1999 3
1,194.77
679,138.5
101.3
98
6,610.9
2.3
-3,737.3
5.09
4.78
1999 4
1,172.27
672,544.4
100.3
98.4
5,665.7
2.9
6,070.1
5.31
4.76
2000 1
1,124.82
684,735.3
99.4
99.3
1,616.4
3.3
9,329.2
5.68
4.96
2000 2
1,116.59
683,704.8
98
99.7
2,939.3
0.4
4,450.3
6.27
5.12
2000 3
1,115.28
697,736
101.2
100.3
4,233
1.6
17.3
6.52
5.16
2000 4
1,166.03
707,698.9
101.3
100.7
3,462.1
-1
-1,686.8
6.47
5.38
2001 1
1,272.15
720,212.6
103.3
101.5
2,666.9
2.2
-4,328
5.59
5.16
2001 2
1,305.35
737,260
103
102.3
3,738.2
0.9
-2,624.7
4.33
5.02
2001 3
1,294.1
768,718.4
104.9
102.7
1,185.3
1.4
1,584.2
3.5
4.58
2001 4
1,291.7
764,979.3
103
103.2
442.2
0.1
1,977.7
2.13
4.02
2002 1
1,319.76
805,123.3
105.6
103.6
1,400.6
3.7
2,922.3
1.73
4.01
2002 2
1,269.13
826,520.5
105.8
103.9
1,569.7
1.6
424.1
1.75
4.2
2002 3
1,197.45
840,325
107.3
104.3
547.2
1.3
2,142.1
1.74
4.3
2002 4
1,220.37
872,075.6
107
104.9
1,876.4
0.9
763
1.44
4.32
2003 1
1,202.49
887,799
108.6
105.7
-1,556.4
-0.3
1,367.9
1.25
4.29
2003 2
1,208.76
881,989.1
108.5
106.1
2,572.9
0.4
2,705.2
1.25
4.13
2003 3
1,174.69
880,971.9
110.6
106.6
3,669.7
1.4
3,639.5
1.02
3.8
2003 4
1,181.79
898,069.4
109.6
107.2
7,263.3
2.7
6,196.8
1
3.79
2004 1
1,170.61
913,949.2
110.9
108.2
6,418.4
0.7
3,980.6
1
3.78
2004 2
1,161.93
929,193.8
111.3
109.2
6,856.6
1
-6,066.6
1.01
3.77
2004 3
1,155.03
945,480.2
114.9
109.7
7,565.4
0.4
-1,137.1
1.44
3.64
2004 4
1,091.73
954,722.5
112.1
110.6
7,333.1
0.7
10,821.9
1.95
3.39
2005 1
1,022.1
970,629.1
111.2
111.5
5,263.5
0.7
4,141.5
2.47
3.26
2005 2
1,008.08
999,795.4
110.8
112.2
2,352.1
1.6
2,257.6
2.94
3.28
2005 3
1,029.4
1,004,087.9
114
113.1
2,198.2
1.6
-504.3
3.46
3.25
2005 4
1,036.53
1,021,448.7
111.2
114
5,167.1
1.7
-1,138.3
3.97
3.54
2006 1
976.38
1,040,062.1
110.2
115
-1,118.4
1
6,524.4
4.46
3.88
*한국은행 경제통계시스템 (http://ecos.bok.or.kr/), 국가통계포털(http://www.kosis.kr/)
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