[통화정책]자산시장의 버블과 가계부실화 가능성 및 정책 대응방안

목차

1. 서 론

2. 자산시장의 버블(bubble)
1) 자산시장 버블의 정의
2) 자산시장의 구조변화(Cusum 검정결과)

3. 가계부문의 현황 및 부실화가능성
1) 가계부문의 현황
2) 가계부문의 부실화 가능성
3) 가계부채의 세가지 시나리오 분석

4. 디플레이션 상황에서의 정책선택 변화

5. 정책 대응방안 및 시사점

참고문헌

본문내용

으로 전개되고 있으므로 실물부문의 회복세가 관찰되는 시점에서 본격적 버블대책을 강구할 필요가 있는 것이다. 특히 위험요인에 민감한 앞으로의 자금흐름은 담보가치의 변화에 의존하므로 담보가치에 급격한 변화를 줄 수 있는 요인 중 통제 가능한 투기적 요인들에 대해서는 사전관리를 대폭 강화해야 할 것이다.
참고문헌
이충언, 우리나라 주식시장의 합리적 거품규모 추정, 금융학회지 제 4권 제2호, 47-168, 1999.
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Robert J. Shiller “Measuring Bubble Expectations and Investor Confidence”, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1999.

키워드

자산시장버블의정의,   자산시장의구조변화,   가계부문의현황,   가계부문의부실화가능성,   가계부채문제의심각성,   자산시장버블과원인,   버블조정과정,   디플레이션의정책선택