한국의 출산력 변천추이와 장래 출산율의 예측분석
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목차

I. 문제제기

Ⅱ. 출산력이란

Ⅲ. 출산율에 대한 봉가르츠 설명모형

Ⅳ. 출산력 변천추이와 희망자녀수의 변화

Ⅴ. 장래 출산율의 예측분석
1, 원치 않은 출산율(Fu)
2. 출산연령의 상승(Ft)
3. 영유아 사망률(Fr)
4. 남아선호사상의 문제(Fg)
5. 비자발적 출산억제 요인과 경쟁적 선호들(Fi)

Ⅵ. 요약 및 결론

참고문헌

본문내용

1980∼2000),『인구동태통계연보』.
---------(1980∼2000),『인구주택총조사보고서』.
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---------(2002), 한국통계정보시스템(KOSIS), http://kosis.nso.go.kr/
한국보건사회연구원(1994),『1994년 전국 출산력 및 가족보건실태 조사보고』.
---------------------------(1997),『1997년 전국 출산력 및 가족보건실태 조사보고』.
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---------------------- (2002), "The End of the Fertility Transition in the Developing World", Expert Group Meeting on Completing the Fertility Transition Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations Secretariat, New York 11-14 March 2002.
Bongaarts, John and Robert G. Potter, Jr. (1883), Fertility, Biology, and Behavior: An Analysis of the Proximate Determinants. New York : Academic Press.
Cho, Lee-Jay, Fred Arnold, and Kwon Tai-Hwan (1982), The Determinants of Fertility in the Republic of Korea. National Research Council. Washington, D.C. : National Academy Press.
Jun, Kwang-Hee (1987), "The Reproductive Behavior of Rural-Urban Migrants in Korea: An Analysis of the Proximate Determinants", an unpublished Ph.D dissertation, Department of Sociology, Brown University.
--------------------- (1999) "Rural-Urban Migration and the Fertility Behavior of Migrants in Korea: An Analysis of the Life History Matrix Data. A paper read the 1999 Asia Pacific Regional Conference of Sociology (APRCS), February 4∼6, 1999, Cheju University, Cheju, Korea.
Kim, Doo-Sub (1992), "Sociodemographic Determinants of the Fertility Transition in Korea", in C. Goldscheider (ed.), Fertility Transitions, Family Structure, and Population Policy. Brown University Studies in Population and Development. Boulder, Colorado : Westview Press.
Kohler, Hans-Peter, Francesco C. Billari, and Ortega Jose Antonio (2002), "The Emergence of Lowest-Low Fertility in Europe During the 1990s", Population and Development Review 28(4) : 641∼80.
Kwon, Tai-Hwan (1977), The Demography of Korea: Population Change and Its Components 1925∼66. Seoul : Seoul National University Press.
----------------------- (1982), "The Historical Background to Korea's Demographic Transition", in Robert Repetto et al. (eds.), Economic Development, Population Policy, and Demographic Transition in the Republic of Korea. Cambridge, Mass : Harvard University Press.
----------------------- (1992), "Social Change and Family System in Korea", in Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs (ed.), Impact of Fertility Decline on Population Policies and Program Strategies. Seoul : Korea Institute of Health and Social Affairs.
Kwon, Tai-Hwan and Jun Kwang-Hee (1999), "Demographic Change and Urbanization", Chapter 2 in Kim Kyong-Dong (ed.), Korean Society. Seoul and Albany : SNU and SUNY Press.
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