햇볕정책과 남북한 경제관계

목차

1. 서 론

2. 햇볕정책하의 남북한 경제관계

3. 남북한 경제교류의 장애요인

4. 결 론

본문내용

다. 만일 북한이 한·미·일의 포괄적 포용정책을 수용한다면 경제난 타개의 실마리가 풀리기 시작할 것이며 체제유지에 보다 자신감을 갖게된 북한정부는 개방·개혁정책을 추진할 가능성이 높다. 이 경우 북한의 점진적 개혁·개방→ 외국기업대북투자 및 남북한 경제교류확대→ 북한경제회복→ 보다 적극적인 개방·개혁의 선순환이 이루어질 수 있을 것이다.
참고문헌
국토통일원. 『10연간의 독일정책: 1969∼79연간 동서일관계발전중심』. 1989.3.
김시중. "중국·대만 경제관계의 진전과 시사점." 『북한의 투자환경과 남북한 경제협력의 정책과제』. 第3회 국제학술회의 자료집. 한국개발연구원, 1993. 9.
통일부. 『'98 통일백서』. 1999. 3.
황병덕. "독일의 대서독정책과 북한의 대남정책의 비교분석." 『통일연구논총』 제7권 1호 (1998), pp. 163-205.
Chun Hong-Tack, "Economic Conditions in North Korea." in Thomas H. Henriksen and Jongryn Mo, eds. North Korea After Kim Il Sung: Continuity or Change? Stanford: Hoover Institution Press, Stanford University, 1997.
Council on Foreign Relations, U.S. Policy Toward North Korea: A Second Look, Independent Task Force Report, July 1997.
Roesch, Franz and Fritz Homann "Thirty Years of the Berlin Agreement- Thirty Years of Inner-German Trade: Economic and Political Dimensions." in Rudolf Richter et al, eds. Economic Reconstruction in Europe: The Reintegration of Western Germany. September 1981.
Intra-Korean Economic Relations
Under the "Sunshine Policy"
Hong-Tack Chun
Senior fellow, KDI
The South Korean government has actively promoted economic exchange with the North based on the principle of separating politics from economics as a strategy to implement its engagement policy toward North Korea, better known as the "Sunshine Policy". There has not been, however, much progress in intra-Korean relations, except for the Mt. Kumgang tours, despite continued endeavors by the South Korean government.
There are two important reasons for the sluggishness of intra-Korean economic relations. First, the investment environment in North Korea is extremely poor as a result of continued economic crisis; and intra-Korean trade cannot increase significantly unless the North Korean economy is revitalized. Another important reason for sluggish intra-Korean economic relations is North Korea's recalcitrance against Chinese-style open-door and reform policy as well as government level cooperation with the South.
Still, North Korea is hesitant to abide by the above prescriptions because it worries that such a policy may undermine regime stability. Therefore, it is best to provide an environment that will make North Korea shift its policy to peaceful coexistence between the North and the South through a comprehensive approach to the engagement policy. If North Korea can be persuaded to shift its policy to peaceful coexistence with the rest of the world including South Korea, North Korea's economic difficulties will begin to ease.
As North Korea can see a light at the end of a long tunnel of economic hardship, it will likely undertake the first step of economic reform and opening with more confidence in regime survival. If this is the case, there may arise a virtuous cycle in North Korea of cautious reform and opening, recovery of North Korean economy with more investment by South Korean and foreign firms, and a next step to a more fundamental reform.

키워드

남북한,   햇볕정책,   경제교류,   정경연계,   대북정책,   정경분리