목차
[ 목 차 ]
Ⅰ. 서 론
Ⅱ. 외환 및 외환거래 기초
1. 외환의 개념 및 환율표시방법
2. 외환시장 이해
3. 우리 나라의 외환거래제도
4. 자본시장 개방
Ⅲ. 기초 통계량 분석
1. 분석 자료
2. 기초통계량분석
Ⅳ. 연구방법론
1. 최소분산헤지모형
2. 이변량 ECT-ARCH(1)모형
Ⅴ. 실증결과분석
1. 전통적 최소분산 회귀분석모형에 의한 헤지비율 추정
2. 이변량 ECT-ARCH(1)모형에 의한 헤지비율 추정
3. 헤지비율 추정결과 비교
4. 헤지효과성 분석 결과
4.1 내표본의 헤지성과
4.2 외표본의 헤지성과
Ⅵ. 결 론
참고문헌
Ⅰ. 서 론
Ⅱ. 외환 및 외환거래 기초
1. 외환의 개념 및 환율표시방법
2. 외환시장 이해
3. 우리 나라의 외환거래제도
4. 자본시장 개방
Ⅲ. 기초 통계량 분석
1. 분석 자료
2. 기초통계량분석
Ⅳ. 연구방법론
1. 최소분산헤지모형
2. 이변량 ECT-ARCH(1)모형
Ⅴ. 실증결과분석
1. 전통적 최소분산 회귀분석모형에 의한 헤지비율 추정
2. 이변량 ECT-ARCH(1)모형에 의한 헤지비율 추정
3. 헤지비율 추정결과 비교
4. 헤지효과성 분석 결과
4.1 내표본의 헤지성과
4.2 외표본의 헤지성과
Ⅵ. 결 론
참고문헌
본문내용
, 4, (1988), 623-630.
Chang, C. W., Chang, J. S. K. and Fang, H., "Optimum futures hedges with jump risk and stochastic basis," The Journal of Futures Markets, 16, (1996), 441-458.
Dicky, D. A. and W. A. Fuller, "Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Journal of American Statistical Association, 74, (1979), 427∼431.
Ederington, L. H., "The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets," The Journal of Finance, 34, (1979), 157-170.
Engle, R. F., "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of U. K. Inflation," Econometrica, (1982), 987-1008.
Engle, Robert F. and Granger, C., "Cointegration and Error Correction Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, 55, (1987), 251∼1008.
Fitzgerald, M. D., Financial Futures, Euromoney Publication, (1983), 67.
Gagnon, L. and Lypny, G., "Hedging short-term interest risk under time-varying distributions," The Journal of Futures Markets, 15, (1995), 767-783.
Ghosh, A., "Hedging with stock index futures:Estimation and forecasting with error correction model," The Journal of Futures Markets, 13, (1993), 743-752.
Ghosh, Asim and Ronnie Clayton, "Hedging with International Stock Index Futures:An Intertemporal Error Correction Model," Journal of Financial Research, 19, (1996), 477-492.
Hicks, J., Value and Capital, London, 1953.
Howard, C. T., and D'Antonio, L. J., "Multiperiod hedging using futures:A risk minimization approach in the presence of autocorrelation," The Journal of Futures Markets, 11, (1991), 697-710.
Johnson, L., "The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures," Review of Economic Studies, 27, (1960), 139-151.
Jorion, P., "On Jump Processes in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Review of Financial Studies, 1, (1993), 427-445.
Keynes, J., Treatise on Money, 2, London, 1930.
Kroner, K. F. and J. Sultan, "Time-Varying Distributions and Dynamic Hedging with Foreign Currency Futures," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 28, (1993), 535-551.
Mackinnon, J., Critical Value for Cointegration Tests for in R.F. Engle and C.W.J. Granger, Long-run Economic Relationships, Oxford University Press, 1991.
Maddala, G. and I. Kim, Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K., 1998.
McNew, K. P. and Fackler, P. L., "Nonconstant optimal hedge ratio estimation and nested hypothesis tests," The Journal of Futures Markets, 14, (1994), 619-635.
Myers, R., "Estimating Time-Varying Optimal Hedge Ratios on Futures Markets," The Journal of Futures Markets, 11, (1991), 39-54.
Nelson, D., "Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns:a new approach," Econometirica, 59, (1991), 347-370.
Park, T. H. and Switzer, L. N., "Bivariate GARCH estimation of optimal hedge ratios for stock index futures:A note," The Journal of Futures Markets, 15, (1995), 61-67.
Phillips, P. C. B. and P. Perron, "Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression," Biometrika, 75, (1988), 335-346.
Chang, C. W., Chang, J. S. K. and Fang, H., "Optimum futures hedges with jump risk and stochastic basis," The Journal of Futures Markets, 16, (1996), 441-458.
Dicky, D. A. and W. A. Fuller, "Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Journal of American Statistical Association, 74, (1979), 427∼431.
Ederington, L. H., "The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets," The Journal of Finance, 34, (1979), 157-170.
Engle, R. F., "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of U. K. Inflation," Econometrica, (1982), 987-1008.
Engle, Robert F. and Granger, C., "Cointegration and Error Correction Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, 55, (1987), 251∼1008.
Fitzgerald, M. D., Financial Futures, Euromoney Publication, (1983), 67.
Gagnon, L. and Lypny, G., "Hedging short-term interest risk under time-varying distributions," The Journal of Futures Markets, 15, (1995), 767-783.
Ghosh, A., "Hedging with stock index futures:Estimation and forecasting with error correction model," The Journal of Futures Markets, 13, (1993), 743-752.
Ghosh, Asim and Ronnie Clayton, "Hedging with International Stock Index Futures:An Intertemporal Error Correction Model," Journal of Financial Research, 19, (1996), 477-492.
Hicks, J., Value and Capital, London, 1953.
Howard, C. T., and D'Antonio, L. J., "Multiperiod hedging using futures:A risk minimization approach in the presence of autocorrelation," The Journal of Futures Markets, 11, (1991), 697-710.
Johnson, L., "The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures," Review of Economic Studies, 27, (1960), 139-151.
Jorion, P., "On Jump Processes in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Review of Financial Studies, 1, (1993), 427-445.
Keynes, J., Treatise on Money, 2, London, 1930.
Kroner, K. F. and J. Sultan, "Time-Varying Distributions and Dynamic Hedging with Foreign Currency Futures," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 28, (1993), 535-551.
Mackinnon, J., Critical Value for Cointegration Tests for in R.F. Engle and C.W.J. Granger, Long-run Economic Relationships, Oxford University Press, 1991.
Maddala, G. and I. Kim, Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K., 1998.
McNew, K. P. and Fackler, P. L., "Nonconstant optimal hedge ratio estimation and nested hypothesis tests," The Journal of Futures Markets, 14, (1994), 619-635.
Myers, R., "Estimating Time-Varying Optimal Hedge Ratios on Futures Markets," The Journal of Futures Markets, 11, (1991), 39-54.
Nelson, D., "Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns:a new approach," Econometirica, 59, (1991), 347-370.
Park, T. H. and Switzer, L. N., "Bivariate GARCH estimation of optimal hedge ratios for stock index futures:A note," The Journal of Futures Markets, 15, (1995), 61-67.
Phillips, P. C. B. and P. Perron, "Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression," Biometrika, 75, (1988), 335-346.
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